Saturday, September 24, 2016

Bad News for Hillary from Nate Silver at 538

Nate Silver, the statistical guru who runs the FiveThirtyEight blog, now gives Trump a 48 percent chance of winning and is sounding the alarm to complacent Democrats. “Never seen otherwise-smart people in so much denial about something as they are about Trump’s chances,” he tweeted. “Same mistake as primaries, Brexit.”

JG: And don't forget the Bradley Effect. People sometimes do not tell the truth to pollsters or give them misleading information. 

No one expected the Brexit.

There is a lot of anger directed towards the Democratic Party. That is very bad news for Hillary Clinton.

The only poll that counts is the one conducted by the voters in their voting precincts. I will accept whatever is their verdict.

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